On Operational Earthquake Forecast and Prediction Problems
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
The Prediction Problems of Earthquake System Science
Editor’s note: The following is the text of the SSA Presidential Address presented at the Annual Luncheon of the Seismological Society of America (SSA) Annual Meeting on 30 April 2014. The Seismological Society of America (SSA) has always been dedicated to understanding and reducing the earthquake threat. The Society was founded in 1906 “for the acquisition and diffusion of knowledge concerning...
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It is well known that earthquakes do not occur randomly in space and time. Foreshocks, aftershocks, precursory activation, and quiescence are just some of the patterns recognized by seismologists. Using the Pattern Informatics technique along with relative intensity analysis, we create a scoring method based on time dependent relative operating characteristic diagrams and show that the occurren...
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Japan's National Project for Earthquake Prediction has been conducted since 1965 without success. An earthquake prediction should be a short-term prediction based on observable physical phenomena or precursors. The main reason of no success is the failure to capture precursors. Most of the financial resources and manpower of the National Project have been devoted to strengthening the seismograp...
متن کاملglobal results on some nonlinear partial differential equations for direct and inverse problems
در این رساله به بررسی رفتار جواب های رده ای از معادلات دیفرانسیل با مشتقات جزیی در دامنه های کراندار می پردازیم . این معادلات به فرم نیم-خطی و غیر خطی برای مسایل مستقیم و معکوس مورد مطالعه قرار می گیرند . به ویژه، تاثیر شرایط مختلف فیزیکی را در مساله، نظیر وجود موانع و منابع، پراکندگی و چسبندگی در معادلات موج و گرما بررسی می کنیم و به دنبال شرایطی می گردیم که متضمن وجود سراسری یا عدم وجود سراسر...
Testing earthquake prediction methods: TThe West Pacific short-term forecast of earthquakes with magnitude MwHRVz5.8r
Analyzing the tables and probability maps posted by Yan Y. Kagan and David D. Jackson in April 2002–September 2004 at http://scec.ess.ucla.edu/~ykagan/predictions_index.html and the catalog of earthquakes for the same period, the conclusion is drawn that the underlying method could be used for prediction of aftershocks, while it does not outscore random guessing when main shocks are considered....
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Seismological Research Letters
سال: 2015
ISSN: 0895-0695,1938-2057
DOI: 10.1785/0220140202